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Crisis and Opportunity for Christie in NJ

Columnist Lisa Bigelow wonders, was the hug seen round the world a self-serving ploy or did it just become one?

Editor's note: On Tuesday, Gov. Chris Christie said he will be running for re-election.

Listening to the news this morning, as I write this, the day before Thanksgiving, there are still people suffering and struggling to recover from Hurricane Sandy. The Jersey Shore, lower Fairfield County and New Haven County, the south shore of Long Island, lower Manhattan—the time warp that enveloped the region two weeks ago still exists for a large portion of our neighbors.

Slamming onto shore days before the election, political watchers wondered cynically how Sandy would affect the election. Many observed that Sandy could only “help” President Obama because the storm would give America the opportunity to see him behaving “presidentially.”

Chris Matthews of MSNBC had a foot-in-mouth moment when he “thank[ed] God” for Sandy because it helped the President politically, never mind the thousands of families who lost loved ones, homes and businesses from the storm.

It’s our unfortunate reality, and – for the most part, anyway -- you could see it in the faces of news professionals and read it in journalists’ words, that events like Sandy force an evaluation of how such events affect the political fortunes of those in power.  Did it help Obama? Yes. Did it hurt Mitt Romney? Probably.

But one man in particular, a Republican, gained enormously because of Sandy. And if you’re not sure of whom I write, just check out the name on his embroidered fleece jacket.

Indeed, in the hug seen round the world, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie wound up the big political winner of the superstorm sweepstakes for the hearts and minds of Americans. He didn’t just warmly embrace the President, he committed the almost-unpardonable act of praising him in the final few days before the election, thus proving himself a traitor to many the GOP.

And, to make matters worse -- in the minds of some Republicans, anyway --  he criticized those who had the temerity to ask about the presidential campaign, stating, “if you think right now I give a damn about presidential politics, you don’t know me.”

In the days following the storm it seemed easy to take those words, spoken with such sincerity, at face value. But now, with Christie’s approval rating skyrocketing to 67 percent when it usually hovers closer to 50, my cynical self can’t help but wonder if The Hug was really The Launch.

Or maybe, The Hug didn’t start off as The Launch, but rather became the Acorn of The Launch.

My head swims in the smarminess of it, the operatives smacking their lips at the grotesque opportunity that crisis always brings. The advisers whispering, you know, Governor, now would be an excellent time to quietly put together an exploratory committee for your own 2016 run. Senator Rubio is already fundraising. Perhaps we can just put together some polling for you …

Would anyone like to lay odds on that having already occurred?

Of course, Christie was mentioned many times as a contender for the Romney vice presidential spot.  Yet now, with his demonstration of sparkling bipartisanship, his nearly-obstreperous attitude toward addressing anything other than the storm’s victims and his self-effacing humor on SNL, he may be in an excellent position to take over the lead, no?

Who knows? Perhaps from the Acorn of the Launch do mighty campaigns grow.

Joe Pankowski November 28, 2012 at 02:41 PM
...I have to strongly disagree with you. If Chris Christie were truly thinking of the 2016 Presidential election, he would have never hugged President Obama. The tape of that hug will play incessantly in Iowa, New Hampshire & South Carolina and will really hurt him with primary voters (who tend to be far more conservative than the general public). In short, "the hug" may actually cost him a shot at the GOP nomination.
Michael Brennan November 28, 2012 at 03:56 PM
Have to disagree with you Joe. "The Hug" may have cost him some ultra-conservative votes, but most Republicans love this guy for taking on unions and for telling it like it is. Plus he has actually made NJ better than the states surrounding it (NY and CT). I won't say he is a lock but the hug meant nothing. Romney lost because he ran a poor campaign and most people know that.
Joe Pankowski November 28, 2012 at 04:09 PM
...@ Michael: we'll see. With Rubio likely to be in the race, a "moderate" like Christie who goes around praising President Obama doesn't seem to have much of a chance in 2016.
Michael Brennan November 28, 2012 at 04:54 PM
@Joe, Christie is hardly a moderate at least fiscally and I think that will help him. I like Rubio too. Just saying that a lot can be forgotten (forgiven) in 2-4 years. Just look at Romney.
Joe Pankowski November 28, 2012 at 05:08 PM
@ Michael: you will note that I put the term "moderate" in quotation marks because he is only a "moderate" in comparison with the likely field in the 2016 GOP Presidential primaries. Given that fact, I would submit that embracing President Obama (in a youtube world where everything exists forever) was simply not in his political interests if he's considering a 2016 run.
Michael Brennan November 28, 2012 at 08:48 PM
@Joe, my guess is Christie would get the nomination hands down today and could give Obama a run for his money if not beat him outright. I am only speaking from conversations I have had with others. I think the majority of the country don't want extremists from either side running - and there just as many on the left as on the right. Bush II and Romney have shown that moderates can win the nomination. You just have to run a good campaign.
Joe Pankowski November 28, 2012 at 09:04 PM
@ Michael: I'd be very surprised if Christie wins the GOP nomination over someone like Rubio given the politics of the GOP primaries. In fact, Rubio didn't waste any time after Romney's loss in traveling to Iowa (link: http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-34222_162-57551529-10391739/rubios-iowa-visit-sparks-2016-speculation/?pageNum=1 ). My guess for the 2016 election right now? Marco Rubio vs. Hillary Clinton.
Veritas vos liberabit November 29, 2012 at 12:11 AM
I think that Christie will see the LIGHT and ditch the plutocrat party, and become a man of the people, and a Democrat.

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